1 00:00:00,220 --> 00:00:12,440 [Music] 2 00:00:18,269 --> 00:00:15,990 all right I'm Russell Dietrich I'm a 3 00:00:20,249 --> 00:00:18,279 student at University of Washington also 4 00:00:22,140 --> 00:00:20,259 working with the VPL I'm going to be 5 00:00:25,769 --> 00:00:22,150 shifting gears a little bit and talking 6 00:00:29,640 --> 00:00:25,779 about larger scale processes in 7 00:00:34,829 --> 00:00:29,650 particular the triple star system of 8 00:00:36,750 --> 00:00:34,839 alpha cen and Proxima so in case you 9 00:00:39,229 --> 00:00:36,760 haven't heard a planet was discovered 10 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:39,239 orbiting Proxima Centauri our nearest 11 00:00:48,899 --> 00:00:46,210 neighbor alright alright I'll move on so 12 00:00:51,270 --> 00:00:48,909 one of the things that Tom Quinn who's a 13 00:00:54,420 --> 00:00:51,280 professor at u-dub pointed out right 14 00:00:56,369 --> 00:00:54,430 away was that Proxima is not alone in 15 00:00:59,969 --> 00:00:56,379 this image we can see Alpha Centauri a 16 00:01:02,700 --> 00:00:59,979 and B a little Proxima is circled in 17 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:02,710 that with that red circle there it's 18 00:01:10,740 --> 00:01:06,490 barely visible in this image Proxima is 19 00:01:13,469 --> 00:01:10,750 about 13,000 au from Alpha Centauri a 20 00:01:15,030 --> 00:01:13,479 and B for a long time it was unsure 21 00:01:17,220 --> 00:01:15,040 whether it was gravitationally bound or 22 00:01:18,990 --> 00:01:17,230 not although new evidence strongly 23 00:01:22,500 --> 00:01:19,000 suggests that it is gravitationally 24 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:22,510 bound we wanted to work from the 25 00:01:26,910 --> 00:01:24,490 assumption that it is gravitationally 26 00:01:30,810 --> 00:01:26,920 bound to Alpha Centauri a and B and if 27 00:01:32,940 --> 00:01:30,820 we assume that then we one of the things 28 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:32,950 that we have to consider is that the 29 00:01:38,700 --> 00:01:34,450 Galactic environment actually affects 30 00:01:40,740 --> 00:01:38,710 its orbit so in particular this can 31 00:01:43,740 --> 00:01:40,750 cause close encounters close approaches 32 00:01:45,950 --> 00:01:43,750 between Alpha Centauri and Proxima and 33 00:01:48,750 --> 00:01:45,960 we wanted to see how this might be 34 00:01:52,290 --> 00:01:48,760 effect be able to affect its planetary 35 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:52,300 system this was inspired by a study a 36 00:01:58,500 --> 00:01:56,170 few years back by cabañal and they 37 00:02:01,110 --> 00:01:58,510 basically took the solar system gas 38 00:02:03,270 --> 00:02:01,120 giants and the Sun and placed it in a 39 00:02:04,890 --> 00:02:03,280 wide binary system and one of the things 40 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:04,900 that they found is that they these 41 00:02:09,839 --> 00:02:07,210 galactic forces that I haven't explained 42 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:09,849 yet but will in a moment they actually 43 00:02:16,589 --> 00:02:12,250 drive the system to high eccentricity in 44 00:02:19,530 --> 00:02:16,599 many cases and cause a disruption of the 45 00:02:22,470 --> 00:02:19,540 outer planets which of course is a 46 00:02:23,570 --> 00:02:22,480 catastrophic if you if you are concerned 47 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:23,580 about your planets or 48 00:02:30,830 --> 00:02:29,610 system maintaining nice stable orbits so 49 00:02:35,330 --> 00:02:30,840 the Galactic forces that I'm referring 50 00:02:38,780 --> 00:02:35,340 to are to two items the Galactic tides 51 00:02:41,630 --> 00:02:38,790 and stellar encounters what I mean by 52 00:02:44,960 --> 00:02:41,640 that is stars that pass within a parsec 53 00:02:47,180 --> 00:02:44,970 or so of the system galactic tides are 54 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:47,190 basically just this idea that it is 55 00:02:52,100 --> 00:02:49,290 denser close to the galactic mid plane 56 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:52,110 and so at a given moment the two stars 57 00:02:55,970 --> 00:02:53,850 may be different distances from the 58 00:02:59,090 --> 00:02:55,980 Galactic mid plane and be experiencing 59 00:03:00,710 --> 00:02:59,100 different gravitational forces and so we 60 00:03:03,230 --> 00:03:00,720 can think of that as a tide a 61 00:03:06,710 --> 00:03:03,240 differential force across the system the 62 00:03:10,460 --> 00:03:06,720 other is forces from passing stars which 63 00:03:13,060 --> 00:03:10,470 can ski in part or steal a little energy 64 00:03:15,260 --> 00:03:13,070 or angular momentum from the system 65 00:03:17,540 --> 00:03:15,270 another thing that I'm going to kind of 66 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:17,550 gloss over here but I'm happy to answer 67 00:03:22,940 --> 00:03:20,250 questions about this idea of radial 68 00:03:25,220 --> 00:03:22,950 migration that stars don't necessarily 69 00:03:28,790 --> 00:03:25,230 have to have to stay where they formed 70 00:03:31,640 --> 00:03:28,800 and we think for for very good reasons 71 00:03:37,009 --> 00:03:31,650 that Proxima Alpha Centauri did not form 72 00:03:39,140 --> 00:03:37,019 in their current location so what does 73 00:03:41,210 --> 00:03:39,150 that actually look like I should also 74 00:03:43,610 --> 00:03:41,220 mention that in this sort of 75 00:03:46,490 --> 00:03:43,620 proof-of-concept study we were treating 76 00:03:49,580 --> 00:03:46,500 Alpha Centauri as as a single mass 77 00:03:51,199 --> 00:03:49,590 rather than rather than two bodies just 78 00:03:54,290 --> 00:03:51,209 because of the difficulty of modeling 79 00:03:58,940 --> 00:03:54,300 the dynamics of those of those bodies of 80 00:04:01,729 --> 00:03:58,950 the three body dynamics so we we built a 81 00:04:03,949 --> 00:04:01,739 secular model for the Galactic and tides 82 00:04:06,170 --> 00:04:03,959 and the stellar encounters and looked at 83 00:04:09,110 --> 00:04:06,180 many different possible orbits that 84 00:04:13,340 --> 00:04:09,120 próxima could have started with some of 85 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:13,350 these configurations actually will go 86 00:04:19,099 --> 00:04:15,570 through having these close approaches 87 00:04:22,250 --> 00:04:19,109 one I'm showing here the distance on the 88 00:04:26,270 --> 00:04:22,260 right basically this is the a pastor on 89 00:04:30,050 --> 00:04:26,280 periastron and semi semi-major axis or a 90 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:30,060 pastor on periastron of Proxima and 91 00:04:36,050 --> 00:04:33,090 Alpha Centauri a and B as a function of 92 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:36,060 time this is billions of years and then 93 00:04:39,710 --> 00:04:36,330 the 94 00:04:42,679 --> 00:04:39,720 it spends a lot of time at high 95 00:04:45,050 --> 00:04:42,689 eccentricity the dash line refers to 96 00:04:48,740 --> 00:04:45,060 time of radial migration when it moved 97 00:04:51,499 --> 00:04:48,750 from its formation location to its 98 00:04:53,890 --> 00:04:51,509 current location but what you can see in 99 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:53,900 this particular configuration is that 100 00:04:59,839 --> 00:04:56,849 they actually get within a few hundred 101 00:05:03,649 --> 00:04:59,849 au of each other many of the simulations 102 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:03,659 that we looked at actually do this and 103 00:05:07,820 --> 00:05:05,490 if I actually build some histograms 104 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:07,830 based on those simulations what you can 105 00:05:13,879 --> 00:05:12,330 see here are I've taken the minimum peri 106 00:05:17,059 --> 00:05:13,889 Center location and all of these 107 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:17,069 different configurations and bend them 108 00:05:20,390 --> 00:05:18,210 accordingly 109 00:05:23,420 --> 00:05:20,400 according to their initial eccentricity 110 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:23,430 semi-major axis and inclination the 111 00:05:28,999 --> 00:05:25,490 black line here represents 112 00:05:32,450 --> 00:05:29,009 configurations that never had close 113 00:05:35,029 --> 00:05:32,460 approaches within 200 au purple our 114 00:05:37,909 --> 00:05:35,039 simulations where they did approach 115 00:05:41,959 --> 00:05:37,919 within 200 au orange within a hundred 116 00:05:44,209 --> 00:05:41,969 and red within 40 and noting that Apple 117 00:05:47,409 --> 00:05:44,219 Apple Center for alpha sin a and B is 118 00:05:49,519 --> 00:05:47,419 about 36 au this is actually these 119 00:05:51,860 --> 00:05:49,529 configurations are actually probably 120 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:51,870 destructive to the stellar system in 121 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:54,330 addition to planetary systems and so 122 00:05:59,480 --> 00:05:56,849 we're still trying to understand that 123 00:06:01,459 --> 00:05:59,490 since we're haven't we're still working 124 00:06:04,850 --> 00:06:01,469 on models of the three body dynamics 125 00:06:09,499 --> 00:06:04,860 here but again just treating alpha sin 126 00:06:12,079 --> 00:06:09,509 as as a point mass we decided to run 127 00:06:14,689 --> 00:06:12,089 some n-body simulations to look at what 128 00:06:16,850 --> 00:06:14,699 a close passage does to a planetary 129 00:06:18,529 --> 00:06:16,860 system and I've modelled several 130 00:06:21,589 --> 00:06:18,539 different flavors of planetary systems 131 00:06:23,990 --> 00:06:21,599 one of course is just Proxima be the 132 00:06:25,730 --> 00:06:24,000 planet that we know about so one of the 133 00:06:27,709 --> 00:06:25,740 things we want to know of course is how 134 00:06:29,629 --> 00:06:27,719 does this close approach affect the 135 00:06:31,909 --> 00:06:29,639 planet that we know about assuming that 136 00:06:35,059 --> 00:06:31,919 it's the only planet in the system so I 137 00:06:37,430 --> 00:06:35,069 actually am showing here one simulation 138 00:06:40,850 --> 00:06:37,440 where Alpha Centauri and Proxima get 139 00:06:45,399 --> 00:06:40,860 within 4 tau of each other and Proxima B 140 00:06:47,659 --> 00:06:45,409 starts with a relatively high 141 00:06:50,450 --> 00:06:47,669 eccentricity and as you can see there's 142 00:06:52,820 --> 00:06:50,460 not much happening with the 143 00:06:56,270 --> 00:06:52,830 the semi-major axis a pest Ron or 144 00:06:58,879 --> 00:06:56,280 periastron or the eccentricity we see a 145 00:07:00,409 --> 00:06:58,889 little pulse just as the as during the 146 00:07:01,939 --> 00:07:00,419 close encounter the center of the mass 147 00:07:04,999 --> 00:07:01,949 of the system is shifting a little bit 148 00:07:08,870 --> 00:07:05,009 but it quickly relaxes back to its 149 00:07:10,820 --> 00:07:08,880 original value and so we would say that 150 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:10,830 that these close encounters are not 151 00:07:14,330 --> 00:07:12,210 going to have much of an impact on 152 00:07:15,980 --> 00:07:14,340 próxima B if it's the only planet in the 153 00:07:19,309 --> 00:07:15,990 system 154 00:07:20,930 --> 00:07:19,319 now just shifting to something analogous 155 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:20,940 to what Kaiba doll did I took 156 00:07:26,779 --> 00:07:23,250 solar system gas giants place them at 157 00:07:29,570 --> 00:07:26,789 their known locations around instead of 158 00:07:32,510 --> 00:07:29,580 in the solar system around Proxima and 159 00:07:34,939 --> 00:07:32,520 looked at what a posting post approach 160 00:07:38,990 --> 00:07:34,949 with Alpha Centauri does to that system 161 00:07:42,499 --> 00:07:39,000 this is one where alpha and Proxima get 162 00:07:45,740 --> 00:07:42,509 within 200 au of each other and as you 163 00:07:49,279 --> 00:07:45,750 can see the the distances of the planets 164 00:07:52,969 --> 00:07:49,289 that a pastor on semi major axis and 165 00:07:55,820 --> 00:07:52,979 periastron of Jupiter Saturn Uranus and 166 00:07:57,920 --> 00:07:55,830 Neptune this is the time of the close 167 00:07:59,540 --> 00:07:57,930 approach after the close approach to 168 00:08:01,490 --> 00:07:59,550 Neptune and Uranus actually end up on 169 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:01,500 crossing orbits so this is something 170 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:03,570 that is really bad for stability of the 171 00:08:07,279 --> 00:08:05,250 system this is something where we would 172 00:08:11,209 --> 00:08:07,289 expect one of the planets to get ejected 173 00:08:17,439 --> 00:08:11,219 or or some other devastating consequence 174 00:08:22,580 --> 00:08:20,540 yeah so the point is this is actually 175 00:08:24,830 --> 00:08:22,590 the best-case scenario that I ran for 176 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:24,840 this type of extended planetary system 177 00:08:30,529 --> 00:08:27,690 in most of them one of the planets 178 00:08:33,889 --> 00:08:30,539 Uranus or Neptune gets ejected almost 179 00:08:36,139 --> 00:08:33,899 immediately after the encounter but what 180 00:08:39,199 --> 00:08:36,149 we'll argue based on this is that 181 00:08:42,769 --> 00:08:39,209 planets that are that if planets ever 182 00:08:45,769 --> 00:08:42,779 did exist for tens of a you from Proxima 183 00:08:48,230 --> 00:08:45,779 it this is bad news for them these kinds 184 00:08:52,519 --> 00:08:48,240 of close approaches so if it did ever 185 00:08:54,560 --> 00:08:52,529 have planetary systems like this even 186 00:08:56,780 --> 00:08:54,570 smaller mass most likely since gas 187 00:08:59,030 --> 00:08:56,790 giants are not as common around M dwarfs 188 00:09:02,000 --> 00:08:59,040 and these close approaches occurred then 189 00:09:03,500 --> 00:09:02,010 we would expect that there are but there 190 00:09:04,190 --> 00:09:03,510 wouldn't be this extended type of 191 00:09:08,389 --> 00:09:04,200 planetary 192 00:09:10,009 --> 00:09:08,399 orbiting próxima but of course this has 193 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:10,019 the caveat that we didn't model the 194 00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:11,970 triple star dynamics because it's 195 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:14,010 sufficiently complicated this can 196 00:09:19,310 --> 00:09:16,290 actually modify the effects of close 197 00:09:22,759 --> 00:09:19,320 approaches this is a test simulation by 198 00:09:25,269 --> 00:09:22,769 Nate cabe showing what happens if you 199 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:25,279 place a tertiary around an inner binary 200 00:09:29,990 --> 00:09:28,410 without resolving that inner binary you 201 00:09:32,930 --> 00:09:30,000 can see that it gets within a few 202 00:09:35,439 --> 00:09:32,940 hundred au but if you actually resolve 203 00:09:38,509 --> 00:09:35,449 the effects of that inner binary the 204 00:09:40,790 --> 00:09:38,519 faster precession rate actually shields 205 00:09:42,290 --> 00:09:40,800 the the tertiary from these close 206 00:09:44,569 --> 00:09:42,300 approaches and so this is something that 207 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:44,579 we still need to consider we're doing 208 00:09:48,230 --> 00:09:45,930 that in sort of a two-pronged approach 209 00:09:51,319 --> 00:09:48,240 one is using our secular model and 210 00:09:55,879 --> 00:09:51,329 modeling the triple star dynamics as a 211 00:09:59,269 --> 00:09:55,889 quadrupole this shows the effects of the 212 00:10:04,730 --> 00:09:59,279 adding the quadrupole moment where in 213 00:10:07,490 --> 00:10:04,740 red this is combining a and B the inner 214 00:10:09,860 --> 00:10:07,500 binary and then in blue resolving their 215 00:10:12,259 --> 00:10:09,870 effects in a quadrupole moment and then 216 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:12,269 of course the secular approximation 217 00:10:17,300 --> 00:10:13,890 breaks down so we will still need to 218 00:10:19,850 --> 00:10:17,310 resort to make caves in body approach 219 00:10:21,380 --> 00:10:19,860 where necessary so we'll be using this 220 00:10:24,500 --> 00:10:21,390 to try to map out lots of different 221 00:10:27,069 --> 00:10:24,510 possible histories of the system of 222 00:10:36,439 --> 00:10:27,079 Alpha Centauri and Proxima Centauri and 223 00:10:36,449 --> 00:10:44,920 few questions 224 00:10:57,880 --> 00:10:55,000 I answered them all I guess great talk o 225 00:11:00,730 --> 00:10:57,890 me so my mind was floating off to our 226 00:11:04,570 --> 00:11:00,740 solar system what implications do you 227 00:11:06,940 --> 00:11:04,580 have for early evolution around the Sun 228 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:06,950 does it imply that maybe there was a 229 00:11:13,780 --> 00:11:09,650 another star nearby from what you did 230 00:11:15,910 --> 00:11:13,790 for the Sun you know I 231 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:15,920 that's a great question I'm not entirely 232 00:11:19,510 --> 00:11:17,210 sure how to answer that 233 00:11:24,010 --> 00:11:19,520 knate knate cave is written several 234 00:11:26,079 --> 00:11:24,020 papers on the motion of the Sun moving 235 00:11:28,870 --> 00:11:26,089 through the galaxy I think the the 236 00:11:30,970 --> 00:11:28,880 implication is that the Sun has been 237 00:11:34,230 --> 00:11:30,980 alone for a long time considering that 238 00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:34,240 we have this extended system although 239 00:11:41,230 --> 00:11:37,970 it's I'm not sure that anyone has 240 00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:41,240 explored yet what effects that may if 241 00:11:45,220 --> 00:11:43,010 the Sun formed in a cluster and there 242 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:45,230 were other stars that were close and the 243 00:11:50,170 --> 00:11:47,450 Sun was later rejected what effect that 244 00:11:53,890 --> 00:11:50,180 may have had on sort of the formation of 245 00:11:55,810 --> 00:11:53,900 the the of the solar system it's an 246 00:12:00,760 --> 00:11:55,820 interesting Avenue to explore for sure 247 00:12:02,710 --> 00:12:00,770 yeah hi this is Renee Heller umm so 248 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:02,720 given the opposite separation of say 249 00:12:07,420 --> 00:12:04,850 thirteen thousand au between the a B 250 00:12:09,460 --> 00:12:07,430 binary and C approxima it gives an 251 00:12:12,250 --> 00:12:09,470 obligate period of say 100,000 years say 252 00:12:16,030 --> 00:12:12,260 ten to the sides around six hundred 253 00:12:18,940 --> 00:12:16,040 thousand is the latest result as a real 254 00:12:21,430 --> 00:12:18,950 estate six excuse me ten to six years 255 00:12:22,180 --> 00:12:21,440 the system is tuned to the I don't nine 256 00:12:24,519 --> 00:12:22,190 years old 257 00:12:26,470 --> 00:12:24,529 yeah gives ten to the three orbits a 258 00:12:29,350 --> 00:12:26,480 thousand orbits only since the system 259 00:12:31,780 --> 00:12:29,360 has been existing so from the planetary 260 00:12:34,300 --> 00:12:31,790 regime when we consider tides we're 261 00:12:37,180 --> 00:12:34,310 talking about millions and hundreds of 262 00:12:38,970 --> 00:12:37,190 millions of years or orbits sure and so 263 00:12:42,310 --> 00:12:38,980 intuitively I wouldn't guess that 264 00:12:44,380 --> 00:12:42,320 galactic tides are actually haven't 265 00:12:46,630 --> 00:12:44,390 actually been effective over say 266 00:12:49,060 --> 00:12:46,640 thousand orbits of próxima around the a 267 00:12:51,730 --> 00:12:49,070 B binary so what's actually the effect 268 00:12:53,710 --> 00:12:51,740 of the galactic tides on the orbital 269 00:12:54,940 --> 00:12:53,720 evolution as part of your simulation ah 270 00:12:57,010 --> 00:12:54,950 good question 271 00:12:59,230 --> 00:12:57,020 so I'm sorry if that wasn't entirely 272 00:13:01,090 --> 00:12:59,240 clear it's the the galactic tides were 273 00:13:03,699 --> 00:13:01,100 aren't going to affect clothes things 274 00:13:07,660 --> 00:13:03,709 like the planets the effect is that it 275 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:07,670 affects the it changes the shape of 276 00:13:12,970 --> 00:13:10,490 Proxima Alpha Sens orbit and so what 277 00:13:14,560 --> 00:13:12,980 happens is that over long timescales you 278 00:13:16,420 --> 00:13:14,570 can have some of these close approaches 279 00:13:18,340 --> 00:13:16,430 or you're right that that there's not 280 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:18,350 going to be very many orbits there's a 281 00:13:22,510 --> 00:13:21,410 thousand ish orbit but it only takes a 282 00:13:24,519 --> 00:13:22,520 handful 283 00:13:28,170 --> 00:13:24,529 it only takes a single close approach to 284 00:13:30,100 --> 00:13:28,180 disrupt a an extended planetary system 285 00:13:33,100 --> 00:13:30,110 does that answer your question 286 00:13:36,070 --> 00:13:33,110 I was small one written about the 287 00:13:37,660 --> 00:13:36,080 collective tides there's a tidal drag of 288 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:37,670 the Galactic mid plane as I understood 289 00:13:41,650 --> 00:13:40,010 its work including models so over a 290 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:41,660 thousand orbits I wouldn't expect the 291 00:13:45,579 --> 00:13:43,370 Galactic mid plane to have a significant 292 00:13:50,949 --> 00:13:45,589 effect of the orbital perturbation of 293 00:13:52,420 --> 00:13:50,959 próxima around the binary which is what 294 00:13:57,579 --> 00:13:52,430 I thought you would include in the model 295 00:14:01,720 --> 00:13:57,589 oh so the the orbital effects of the of 296 00:14:04,319 --> 00:14:01,730 the inner binary are small at the at the 297 00:14:06,970 --> 00:14:04,329 distances that we're talking about of 298 00:14:10,389 --> 00:14:06,980 and I think I'll bug you in the 299 00:14:12,490 --> 00:14:10,399 coffee-break again is okay sorry I'm not 300 00:14:16,750 --> 00:14:12,500 I'm not sure I understand what you're 301 00:14:17,690 --> 00:14:16,760 asking all right let's think Russell